A generated sample wallet with every feature unlocked. Run the same report on your own wallet.

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ScrutinSample wallet
Sample wallet365-day window739 txs readScanned 53m ago

The quant lab. Your trades, by the numbers.

What you're looking at. Standard quantitative-finance models, applied to your own trading history. They were built for markets that move more smoothly than memecoins, so they show the shape of your habits and your risk, not forecasts or trade signals. Not financial advice. Read the full notice

What they're good for. Measuring your past trading the way a desk measures a book: how much risk you took for what you made, whether your results beat chance, how your exits and sizing compare with the alternatives, and what volatility alone does to a position.

Where memecoins differ. The models assume prices move continuously and that the future resembles the past. Memecoins can gap past a stop, lose their liquidity, get rugged or go to zero, and they have no options market, so the volatility surface is a model of how volatility would be priced, not a quote. Anything built on simulation is hypothetical. Each model says what it assumes under its title.

Where the numbers come from. Your wallet's public on-chain history as scanned, priced with third-party data that can be delayed, incomplete or wrong. Simulations are seeded, so the same inputs always give the same output.

What they aren't. Advice, a prediction of any coin's price, or a promise of results. Every trading decision is yours. Only trade what you can afford to lose.

Monte Carlo outlook.

Forecast · 1 of 11

Thousands of runs of your next 30, 90 or 180 days, stitched from random stretches of your own trading days, as you trade now and with your rules.

Assumes: Your next days look like a random mix of your past trading days. It can't see a change in how you trade or in the market, so it shows where your current habits lead, not where any coin goes.

Trading as you do now, 9% of runs finish up after 90 days. With your rules, 90%.

+$272Best 1 in 20
−$1,442Median
−$3,518Worst 1 in 20
One run each Median 90% of runs fall between Median with your rules
Median after the period
−$1,442
With your rules: +$546
Chance of finishing up
9%
With your rules: 90%
Chance of losing over $2,000
32%
With your rules: 0%
Typical worst drop on the way
−$1,814
With your rules: −$237

Rules your leaks point to: −30% stop · 60m cooldown after a loss · $229 size cap · 5 trades a day · no trades after midnight. Change them

Source: 4,000 runs, each stitched from random stretches of this sample wallet's own 369 trading days. A projection from past trades, not a prediction or financial advice: it assumes the next 90 days trade like the last 369.

Every model is computed from this wallet's closed trades as scanned, using public on-chain data and third-party prices that can be incomplete or wrong. Simulated and hypothetical results have inherent limits: they are built after the fact, don't reflect real fills, fees or liquidity, and don't guarantee any result. Nothing here is financial, investment or trading advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any token. See the Terms.

Sample wallet · Down one trade? — Scrutin